Case Study One- Navigating the Geopolitical Consequences of the Sahel Coups

In 2023, Burkina Faso and Niger experienced military coups. These coups created the anti-Western AES bloc in West Africa and bolstered Russia’s influence in the Sahel. PGR provided strategic advice to government agencies and private stakeholders in the U.S., Britain, Europe and the United Arab Emirates about the risks posed by the coups and the concomitant strains within the Economic Community of West African states. It provided accurate in-depth geopolitical forecasts about the balance of geopolitical forces in this chronically insecure but strategically important region of Sub-Saharan Africa.

Case Study Two- Assessing the Possible Directions of the Sanctions Regime in Georgia

The Georgian Dream’s passage of the controversial foreign agent legislation and the 2024 parliamentary elections sparked mass unrest in Georgia. Western countries criticized the Georgian government’s handling of the protests and expressed concerns about the Georgian Dream’s engagement with Russia. This backlash caused Georgian Dream founder Bidzina Ivanishvili to be sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury Department and left many key Georgian economic sectors exposed to sanctions risk. PGR helped international investors in Georgia navigate the risks posed by sanctions to their interest and provided prescient pre-emptive guidance to its clients about the direction of sanctions on Georgian Dream figures.

Case Study Three- Helping British and European Investors Navigate Election Risks to Clean Energy Policy in Germany

The February 2025 German elections and the inception of peace negotiations to end the Ukraine War created uncertainties about the future of Germany’s energy policy. Would the CDU scrap the GEG Act that placed Germany on the path to a renewable transition? Would the AfD’s rising popularity steer Germany away from its course of green energy transition leadership in Europe? Would the Ukraine War’s resolution lead to a return of Russian gas? PGR helped British and European investors flesh out the plausible changes and continuities in German energy policy and left them well-equipped to manage the leadership transition.

Case Study Four- Providing Guidance for Western Companies Seeking to Exit the Russian Market after the 2022 Invasion of Ukraine

The February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine had ripple effects that extended across crucial sectors of its economy. The combined impact of sanctions and unpredictable Russian attitudes towards foreign investment left Western companies facing large-scale financial losses if they departed from Russia. Alternatively, if they chose to stay in the Russian market, they risked populist backlash in their home countries and potential asset seizures. PGR helped U.S., British and European companies operating in Russia make sensible choices for their business and mitigate the risks to their operations.

Case Study Five- Mitigating Maritime Security Risks Associated with Middle East Tensions

The regionalization of the post-October 7, 2023, Gaza War triggered a myriad of threats to maritime security in the Gulf and Red Sea. Chief amongst them were the risk of Iran cutting off access to the Strait of Hormuz and Houthi attacks on commercial vessels passing through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. PGR helped governments and companies in the West and MENA region navigate the risks associated with the escalation of Israel-Iran tensions, and provided strategic advice to help them protect their assets.